Search

What do council election results say about next year’s general election?

10:00 06 June 2014

Tulip Siddiq with Labour candidates at the Camden Council vote count. Picture: Dieter Perry.

Tulip Siddiq with Labour candidates at the Camden Council vote count. Picture: Dieter Perry.

Archant

The recent council elections in Camden, Haringey and Barnet were a bruising experience for the Liberal Democrats and a richly ­rewarding one for Labour.

But what do the results say about all the parties’ chances ­locally in next year’s general election?

The Ham&High has compared the share of votes polled by the parties at the last general election with their share of votes at the council elections on May 22.

For each parliamentary constituency, we have compared the total number of votes cast in the 2010 general election with the ­total votes cast in all the council wards contained within each constituency during the recent local election.

In Hampstead and Kilburn, ­Labour enjoyed a 37.2 per cent overall share of the local election vote, leaving some daylight ­between them and the Conservatives and Lib Dems.

The party increased its share of the vote by 4.3 per cent from 2010, while the Tories suffered a 1.1 per cent drop and the Lib Dems endured a catastrophic 10.7 per cent fall.

It looks very different from the previous general election when Labour’s Glenda Jackson was elected over Tory Chris Philp by a majority of just 42 votes, pushing the Lib Dems into third place by just one per cent of the total votes cast.

Tulip Siddiq, Labour’s 2015 parliamentary candidate in Hampstead and Kilburn, is happy to see Labour’s progress.

“I’m pleased that people are supporting us and very pleased that we have such fantastic councillors,” she said.

“I don’t in any way want to take anything for granted because I understand a year is a long time and it’s not going to stop me working any harder.”

Simon Marcus, Tory parliamentary candidate for Hampstead and Kilburn, was encouraged by his party’s performance in the council wards within his prospective constituency.

“In Hampstead and Kilburn the Conservatives went from 10 to 15 councillors and Labour went from nine to 14,” he said.

“The election is a year from now. The trend is showing we are closing in on Labour both nationally and in London.

“That trend is picking up because people look at Ed Miliband and they don’t think he’s going to be prime ministerial material. I think Labour have as much to think about as we do.”

In Finchley and Golders Green, a constituency won comfortably by former Barnet Council leader Mike Freer for the Tories in 2010 with 45.9 per cent of the vote, the political landscape changed dramatically on May 22.

Labour enjoyed a 5.3 per cent surge in its share of the vote and left the Conservatives with just a 2.6 per cent winning margin (41.6 per cent) – a 4.3 per cent drop in vote share since 2010.

But Mr Freer insisted accurate conclusions could not be drawn from a comparison between general election and local election data.

“Until we see the turnout by polling district, not ward, all I see is Labour racking up their vote in Labour areas and some of the Conservative voters not bothering to vote,” he said.

“Plus Labour benefitted from a massive swing from the Lib Dems, who will recover at the general election.”

In Hornsey and Wood Green, the Lib Dems suffered a dire 17.3 per cent drop in votes, pushing them 13 per cent behind emphatic winners Labour with 42.3 per cent of the votes.

The local election result last month was a dramatic reverse of fortunes for the Lib Dems after incumbent MP Lynne Featherstone’s storming victory in 2010 – polling 46.5 per cent of the vote to Labour’s 34 per cent.

Ms Featherstone said: “We are down but certainly not out. This area needs a Lib Dem MP to campaign for, and with, local residents, and to hold the Labour-run council to account as it lurches from scandal to scandal.”

In Holborn and St Pancras, ­a safe Labour seat, the party increased its majority of votes by 8.1 per cent to a 54.2 per cent overall share of votes last month.

Latest Hampstead & Highgate Stories

39 minutes ago

Anger over the proposed cycle-superhighway CS-11 has fuelled calls for Hampstead to become an independent parish council, granting the area planning powers separate from Camden.

54 minutes ago

Teenage speedster Brandon Abraham narrowly missed out on his third Rookie Trophy in the final race of the British Super One Series.

59 minutes ago

While most cricket fans inside Lord’s and beyond were entranced by the exciting spectacle that unfolded on Friday, there were also some voicing outrage.

The breakfast supervisor, who worked for the chain since 1996, has also received a written apology after being ‘bullied and harassed’

16:30

Wingate & Finchley came from behind to beat Kingstonian 2-1 at home on Tuesday, securing their third league win from four games and establishing themselves in the top half of the Ryman League Premier Division table.

Change is afoot in Highgate as a consultation on a new Neighbourhood Plan opens

16:00

Helen Kovari, director of a bespoke Belsize Park agency shares her top tips for selling your home - and her craziest estate agent stories

15:33

UCS Old Boys suffered a late defeat to Saracens Amateurs, who scored a decisive penalty with the final kick to run out 17-14 winners in Saturday’s Herts/Middlesex Division One clash.

Results

Hampstead and Kilburn

  • Tulip Siddiq (Labour)
    23,977 (44.4%)

Finchley and Golders Green

  • Mike Freer (Conservative)
    25,835 (50.9%)

Holborn and St Pancras

  • Keir Starmer(Labour)
    29,062 (52.9%)

PROMOTED CONTENT

Interested in purchasing a flat and want to know the rules, rights and regulations as a leaseholder? Or maybe you are already a leaseholder and want to find out more about extending your lease?

Scores of people visited the opening of Composite Door Master’s first public showroom in Hayes at the weekend, where they were treated to a spectacular show by award winning magician, Marc Oberon.

You’ve got cash, you’ve got style and you’ve got a bursting social calendar, but no time. These Crouch End studio suites to rent could be your dream come true.

Newsletter Sign Up

Sign up to the following newsletters:

Most read Hampstead & Highgate stories

HOT JOBS

Show Job Lists

Property Newsletter Sign-up

Get the latest North London property news and features straight to your inbox with our regular newsletter

I am also happy to receive other emails...
Fields marked with a * are mandatory
Email Marketing by e-shot

Competitions

If you’re obsessed with Apple or just love a good gadget, this is a prize that will blow you away! An incredible £3,333 to spend on Apple goodies! How would you like to be the proud new owner of the Apple Watch?

As we grow older it becomes more and more important to have means to travel about safely and quickly. Our friendship groups and families grow and the need to have a car that is not only safe but also fast and big enough for all our needs is ever more important. There are many cars on the market for such needs but none deals with them as efficiently or as neatly as a VW Golf Estate. These cars are build strong, long lasting and spacious for a reason. They cater to the needs of many and are some of the most popular cars currently on the market.

Digital Edition

cover

Enjoy the
Hampstead & Highgate Express
e-edition today

Subscribe

Education and Training

cover

Read the
Education and Training
e-edition today

Read Now